So which would scare you more: an American Muslim family you knew nothing about or the guy from your church who had just gone through a divorce? You would probably get this wrong; most of us are terrible at risk assessment. Stephen J. Dubner on why the things we fear the most are simply irrational:
Why do we fear the unknown more than the known? That’s a larger question than I can answer here (not that I’m capable anyway), but it probably has to do with the heuristics — the shortcut guesses — our brains use to solve problems, and the fact that these heuristics rely on the information already stored in our memories.
And what gets stored away? Anomalies — the big, rare, “black swan” events that are so dramatic, so unpredictable, and perhaps world-changing, that they imprint themselves on our memories and con us into thinking of them as typical, or at least likely, whereas in fact they are extraordinarily rare.
The Amateur Gourmet: On Learning the Basics →