Linking Thinking

The Crowd Within

Psy­chol­o­gists reveal in a study pub­lished in Psy­cho­log­i­cal Sci­ence a corol­lary of the wis­dom of crowds: the aver­age of two guesses made by the same per­son at dif­fer­ent times are bet­ter than either guess on its own. The accu­racy of the sec­ond guesses improves when it is made three weeks rather than imme­di­ately after the first. If a guess by def­i­n­i­tion is the best pos­si­ble answer, where do these sec­ond guesses come from? The researchers sug­gest that we are con­stantly cre­at­ing hypothe­ses about the world, and check­ing them against real­ity. Sec­ond guesses are refined first guesses that have passed muster.

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One Comment

  1. MattR
    Posted September 18th, 2008 at 12:12 AM | Permalink

    Every­thing comes from one com­mon infor­ma­tional field. We are all con­nected in one sys­tem, though at present we are in an uncon­scious state in rela­tion to this sys­tem – as if sleep­ing. How­ever, we are grad­u­ally awak­en­ing to the root causes of phe­nom­e­non such as “The Crowd Within”. If we under­stand the sys­tem that we are each a part of, we can speed up the process of rev­e­la­tion.

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