Linking Thinking

The Sky Is Falling

The odds that a poten­tially dev­as­tat­ing space rock will hit Earth this cen­tury may be as high as one in 10. Gregg East­er­brook explores why NASA isn’t try­ing harder to pre­vent cat­a­stro­phe, and in doing so offers insight into why our insti­tu­tions learn so slowly. Con­ven­tional think­ing – that the remain­ing space rocks are few, and that encoun­ters with plan­ets were con­fined to our pre­his­toric past – has been eclipsed by more dan­ger­ous real­i­ties, but serve to sup­port NASA’s pre­oc­cu­pa­tion with build­ing a manned moon base.

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